Suspicious Timing — When Trades Line Up With Events

How this works

For each major political event, we search our database of 41,860 congressional trade disclosures for any trades in affected tickers in the 10 days before the event. We only show trades made before the announcement - trades made after are irrelevant since the information was already public. A trade before an event could mean foresight, routine portfolio activity, or pure coincidence. We flag the timing - you decide what it means.

Mega Trades Jun 8, 2026

Nancy Pelosi buys up to $5M of Intel 10 days before Google's 3 million-chip foundry order

Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) disclosed a purchase of Intel (INTC) valued between $1,000,001 and $5,000,000 on May 29, 2026, the single largest individual-stock trade in this disclosure batch. Ten days later, on June 8, 2026, reports surfaced that Alphabet had placed a foundry order with Intel for more than 3 million tensor processing units, the largest production contract Intel Foundry had secured to date and its first with a mainstream cloud provider. Intel shares jumped roughly 11% that session, one of the sharpest single-day moves on the NASDAQ even as the broader market fell. The May 29 purchase sits at the edge of the 10-day window before the order became public. This is a temporal correlation worth examining, not an allegation of wrongdoing.

Market impact: INTC closed up roughly 11% on June 8, 2026 after reports of Google's 3 million-plus TPU foundry order, one of the sharpest single-day moves on the NASDAQ that session.

Source: TrendForce / Google 3M TPU Intel Foundry order

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 1 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
10d before May 29, 2026	Nancy Pelosi Dem	INTC	Buy	1	$3.0M	Spouse

Mega Trades Jun 2, 2026

Khanna and Pelosi buy Intel in the days before its Computex AI partnership rally

Two House members purchased Intel (INTC) in the days before the company's Computex 2026 catalyst. Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) bought INTC on May 27 and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) bought between $1,000,001 and $5,000,000 of INTC on May 29, 2026. On June 2, 2026 Intel announced a rack-scale AI infrastructure partnership with Foxconn and unveiled its Xeon 6+ processors on the 18A node at Computex, sending shares up about 4.4% and beginning a multi-week rally that carried the stock sharply higher through June. Both purchases fall inside the 10-day window before the announcement. This is a suspicious timing pattern worth examining, not a claim of insider trading.

Market impact: INTC rose about 4.4% on June 2, 2026 on the Foxconn AI infrastructure partnership and the Xeon 6+ launch at Computex, the start of a multi-week rally.

Source: Intel Newsroom / Computex 2026 AI announcements

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 2 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
6d before May 27, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	INTC	Buy	1	$8K	Spouse
4d before May 29, 2026	Nancy Pelosi Dem	INTC	Buy	1	$3.0M	Spouse

Mega Trades Mar 31, 2026

Tina Smith spouse sells $250K of BRK/B and MMM

Sen. Tina Smith's (D) spouse sold $175K of Berkshire Hathaway and $75K of 3M on March 31, one week before the April 7 Iran ceasefire that caused major market swings.

Market impact: Markets moved sharply on April 7 Iran ceasefire.

Source: Congressional filings

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 5 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
8d before Mar 23, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	BRK/B	Sell	1	$33K	Spouse
6d before Mar 25, 2026	Gil Cisneros Dem	BRK/B	Sell	1	$8K	Not disclosed
4d before Mar 27, 2026	Alan Armstrong Rep	BRK/B MMM	Buy	2	$83K	Joint
1d before Mar 30, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	BRK/B MMM	Sell	2	$83K	Child
Same day Mar 31, 2026	Tina Smith Dem	BRK/B MMM	Sell	2	$250K	Spouse

Mega Trades Mar 30, 2026

Ro Khanna child executes 154-trade rebalance - $2.6M in one day

Ro Khanna's dependent child sold $1.4M and bought $1.2M across 154 separate trades in a single day. The sells included BRK/B, BAC, V, MA, SCHW and tech stocks, while buys rotated into KKR, PRU, JPM, WFC, TSLA, PANW, GOOGL. This happened 8 days before the April 7 Iran ceasefire that moved markets dramatically.

Market impact: Markets moved sharply on April 7 when the Iran ceasefire was announced. Oil dropped 15%, S&P rallied.

Source: Congressional filings

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 7 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
7d before Mar 23, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	BAC BRK/B JPM KKR MCHP PANW PRU V	Buy Sell	8	$162K	Spouse
7d before Mar 23, 2026	Jared Moskowitz Dem	PANW	Buy	2	$16K	Child, Not disclosed
5d before Mar 25, 2026	Gil Cisneros Dem	BRK/B	Sell	1	$8K	Not disclosed
3d before Mar 27, 2026	Alan Armstrong Rep	BAC BRK/B GOOGL JPM KKR MCHP PANW PRU TSLA V	Buy Sell	10	$312K	Joint
Same day Mar 30, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	BAC BRK/B GOOGL JPM KKR MCHP PANW PRU TSLA V	Buy Sell	11	$503K	Child
Same day Mar 30, 2026	Alan Armstrong Rep	GOOGL TSLA	Buy	2	$16K	Joint
Same day Mar 30, 2026	John Fetterman Dem	GOOGL	Buy	1	$8K	Child

Mega Trades Mar 16, 2026

Kevin Hern sells $2.4M in stocks in one week

Rep. Kevin Hern (R) sold $2.4M across 14 different positions between March 15-20, including TXN ($750K), ACN ($375K), and PLD, IQV, PRGS. This broad liquidation happened the week before the March 23 Iran announcement and subsequent market volatility.

Market impact: Markets experienced significant volatility after the March 23 Iran announcement.

Source: Congressional filings

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 4 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
6d before Mar 10, 2026	Ro Khanna Dem	IQV PLD	Buy	2	$16K	Spouse
3d before Mar 13, 2026	Gil Cisneros Dem	ACN	Buy	1	$8K	Not disclosed
Same day Mar 16, 2026	Kevin Hern Rep	ACN IQV PRGS	Sell	3	$525K	Joint
Same day Mar 16, 2026	Mark Alford Rep	QQQ	Sell	1	$8K	Not disclosed

Mega Trades Dec 29, 2025

Jefferson Shreve $45M+ financial sector buy spree

Freshman Rep. Jefferson Shreve purchased an estimated $45M+ in financial stocks (JPM, PUK, PRU, BMO) in a two-day window on Dec 29-30, 2025. These are among the largest individual congressional trades on record. Shreve is one of the wealthiest members of Congress.

Market impact: Financial sector rallied in early 2026 as deregulation expectations grew under the Trump administration.

Source: Congressional filings / public record

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 3 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
7d before Dec 22, 2025	Roger Williams Rep	JPM	Buy	1	$8K	Not disclosed
Same day Dec 29, 2025	Jefferson Shreve Rep	PRU PUK	Buy	2	$30.0M	Not disclosed
Same day Dec 29, 2025	Markwayne Mullin Rep	JPM	Buy	1	$75K	Joint

Mega Trades Jan 27, 2025

Pre-DeepSeek AI/chip selloff: Senate freshman dumps NVDA, AMD, SMCI 5 days before $600B crash

Sen. Ashley Moody (R-FL), sworn in on January 21, 2025 to fill the Marco Rubio seat, sold full positions in NVDA, AMD, MU, and three lots of SMCI on January 22 - five days before the DeepSeek announcement that triggered a roughly $600 billion single-day market cap loss for NVIDIA on January 27. Other lawmakers were also lightening AI/chip exposure in the same window: Ro Khanna (D) sold MSFT and GOOGL on January 22, Rob Bresnahan (R) sold GOOGL on January 21, Julia Letlow (R) sold TSM on January 24, and Josh Gottheimer (D) trimmed MSFT on January 21. Moody's basket-style liquidation immediately upon taking office is a temporal correlation worth examining; whether it reflects routine pre-Senate divestiture or anticipatory positioning, the timing relative to the DeepSeek shock is striking.

Market impact: NVIDIA fell about 17% in a single session on January 27, 2025 - roughly a $600 billion single-day market-cap loss - as a Chinese AI lab named DeepSeek released a competitive model trained at a fraction of US rivals' cost. The broader semiconductor and AI complex (AMD, MU, AVGO, SMCI, TSM) sold off in sympathy.

Source: Wikipedia / Reuters / CNBC

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 13 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
10d before Jan 17, 2025	Ro Khanna Dem	AMD MSFT SMCI	Buy Sell	3	$24K	Spouse
10d before Jan 17, 2025	Shelley Moore Capito Rep	MSFT	Sell	1	$8K	Spouse
10d before Jan 17, 2025	Josh Gottheimer Dem	NVDA	Sell	1	$8K	Joint
6d before Jan 21, 2025	Rob Bresnahan Rep	GOOGL	Sell	1	$75K	Not disclosed
6d before Jan 21, 2025	Marjorie Taylor Greene Rep	AMD NVDA	Buy	2	$16K	Not disclosed
6d before Jan 21, 2025	Josh Gottheimer Dem	MSFT	Sell	1	$8K	Joint
6d before Jan 21, 2025	James Comer Rep	PLTR	Buy	1	$8K	Not disclosed
5d before Jan 22, 2025	Ashley Moody Rep	AMD MU NVDA SMCI	Buy Sell	7	$123K	Self
5d before Jan 22, 2025	Ro Khanna Dem	AMD GOOGL MSFT	Buy Sell	3	$116K	Child
5d before Jan 22, 2025	Lisa McClain Rep	AVGO	Buy	1	$8K	Spouse
3d before Jan 24, 2025	Gil Cisneros Dem	MSFT PLTR	Buy	2	$16K	Not disclosed
3d before Jan 24, 2025	Julia Letlow Rep	TSM	Sell	1	$8K	Not disclosed
Same day Jan 27, 2025	Ashley Moody Rep	NVDA	Sell	1	$8K	Self

Mega Trades Jan 20, 2025

Bipartisan multi-million-dollar basket trades in 10 days before Trump 2025 inauguration

In the ten days before President Trump's second inauguration on January 20, 2025, two of the most prolific congressional traders executed two of the largest single-day disclosed buys of Trump-aligned positions in our database. Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) executed five separate purchases on January 14, 2025 totaling $1.55-$3.05 million across the AI-data-center power thesis (VST $500K-$1M), Big Tech (GOOGL $250K-$500K, AMZN $250K-$500K), AI hardware (NVDA $250K-$500K), and AI-genomics (TEM $50K-$100K). On the Republican side, Sen. Dave McCormick (R-PA, Senate Banking) executed six positions between January 10 and January 17 totaling $2-$6.5 million: he sold his Rumble (RUM) position ($1M-$5M), then bought into the Trump-aligned ecosystem with Carlyle Group (CG, private equity), Phillips 66 (PSX, oil refining), McDonald's (MCD), Athene Holding (ATH, annuities), and Ares Capital (ARCC, business development company). Combined disclosed volume from just these two members in the ten days before inauguration: roughly $3.5 million on the low end to $9.5 million on the high end. Tempus AI (TEM) jumped 23% the trading day after Trump's inauguration; Vistra Energy (VST) gained 8% in the following week; NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN all hit fresh highs in the inauguration week.

Market impact: Trump-trade winners surged in the inauguration week: TEM +23% the day after, VST +8% in the following week, broad Big Tech basket (GOOGL/AMZN/NVDA) all to fresh highs. Pelosi's positions and McCormick's reallocation captured the move at scale.

Source: CNBC / disclosure tracking

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 13 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
10d before Jan 10, 2025	Dave McCormick Rep	CG MCD PSX	Buy	3	$1.1M	Self
10d before Jan 10, 2025	Keith Self Rep	NVDA	Buy	2	$16K	Self, Spouse
7d before Jan 13, 2025	Val Hoyle Dem	AMZN GOOGL NVDA	Buy	3	$24K	Spouse
7d before Jan 13, 2025	Rob Bresnahan Rep	GOOGL	Sell	1	$8K	Joint
6d before Jan 14, 2025	Nancy Pelosi Dem	AMZN GOOGL NVDA TEM VST	Buy	5	$2.0M	Spouse
6d before Jan 14, 2025	John Boozman Rep	NVDA	Buy	1	$8K	Joint
6d before Jan 14, 2025	Val Hoyle Dem	NVDA	Buy	1	$8K	Spouse
4d before Jan 16, 2025	Dave McCormick Rep	ATH RUM	Buy Sell	2	$3.4M	Self
4d before Jan 16, 2025	Josh Gottheimer Dem	GOOGL NVDA	Sell	2	$16K	Joint
4d before Jan 16, 2025	Thomas Kean Jr Rep	AMZN	Buy	1	$8K	Not disclosed
3d before Jan 17, 2025	Dave McCormick Rep	ARCC	Buy	1	$375K	Self
3d before Jan 17, 2025	Shelley Moore Capito Rep	PSX	Sell	1	$8K	Spouse
3d before Jan 17, 2025	Josh Gottheimer Dem	NVDA	Sell	1	$8K	Joint

Mega Trades Nov 5, 2024

Basket buys surge in the two weeks before Trump's decisive election win

In the 13 days before the November 5, 2024 election - which Trump won decisively, triggering a broad 'Trump trade' rally across banks, energy, defense, and Tesla - multiple lawmakers built diversified baskets of exactly the sectors that would rally. Rep. Julia Letlow (R-LA) bought a four-position bank/energy basket on October 23 (CVX, GS, JPM, WFC) and added more JPM on October 25 - 13 days before the vote. Rep. Val Hoyle (D-OR) purchased a six-position spouse-owned basket on October 29 that reads almost exactly like the Trump-trade playbook: BAC, BLK, XOM, JPM, LMT, and WFC - financials, energy, defense, all in a single session, one week before the election. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) bought TSLA on November 1, four trading days before Trump's win sent Tesla up roughly 15% on Elon Musk's role in the incoming administration. Rep. Ro Khanna's (D) child account bought two lots of Morgan Stanley on November 1 as well. The common thread: diversified buys in the handful of sectors most exposed to a Trump-win scenario, concentrated in the final two trading weeks.

Market impact: TSLA rallied roughly 15% on November 6 alone and was up approximately 40% by mid-November. Bank stocks rallied 6-11% in the week after the election (JPM +12%, WFC +14%). Defense names (LMT +5%, NOC +7%) and energy (XOM +4%, CVX +4%) also outperformed.

Source: Congressional filings / CapitolTrades

Congressional trades in the 10 days before 6 found

Timing	Politician	Tickers	Action	# Trades	Est. Value	Owner(s)
8d before Oct 28, 2024	Sheldon Whitehouse Dem	TSLA	Sell	2	$208K	Self, Spouse
7d before Oct 29, 2024	Val Hoyle Dem	BAC BLK JPM LMT NOC WFC XOM	Buy	7	$56K	Spouse
7d before Oct 29, 2024	Dwight Evans Dem	TSLA	Sell	1	$8K	Not disclosed
4d before Nov 1, 2024	Ro Khanna Dem	MS	Buy	2	$16K	Child
4d before Nov 1, 2024	Marjorie Taylor Greene Rep	TSLA	Buy	1	$8K	Not disclosed
Same day Nov 5, 2024	Michael McCaul Rep	WFC	Sell	1	$33K	Spouse

A note on what this page shows

This page maps publicly disclosed congressional trades against documented political events. A trade near an event is not proof of wrongdoing - members of Congress trade frequently, and coincidences happen. What matters is the pattern: when the same sectors and tickers keep appearing in the days before market-moving announcements, the question shifts from "is this suspicious?" to "how often does this happen?"

The larger suspicious trading incidents (the $580M pre-dawn oil futures bet, the $950M ceasefire trade) involve anonymous market participants - not necessarily Congress members. We include those events for context because they show the environment in which congressional trading happens.