Case file · Jan 15, 2026
Rep. Michael McCaul sold $ASML
What Happened Next
$ASML vs the S&P 500 from the trade date. A sale has an edge when the stock lags the market afterwards.
$ASML · 30 days
+6.8%
S&P 500, same days
−1.4% −8.1 pts edge
$ASML · 90 days
+11.4%
S&P 500, same days
+1.4% −10.0 pts edge
$ASML · 180 days
+33.8%
S&P 500, same days
+9.2% −24.6 pts edge
Return
−20%0+20%+40%+60%
The Paper Trail
- $ASML moved +11.4% in the 90 days after the sale, vs +1.4% for the S&P 500 — a 10.0-point deficit
- $ASML is a named recipient of CHIPS Act source
- Filed as a spouse's trade
- Trade date
- Jan 15, 2026
- Disclosed
- Feb 12, 2026 (27 days)
- Shuffle Score
- 10/100
- Filing
- Not linked
Michael McCaul's History in $ASML
| Date | Type | Amount | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Child |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Child |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Child |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Child |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Child |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Child |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Child |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Child |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Spouse |
Returns use split- and dividend-adjusted closes. Disclosures report ranges, not exact amounts. A well-timed trade is not evidence of wrongdoing. Methodology · Disclaimer