Case file · May 12, 2023
Rep. Michael McCaul sold $CVX
What Happened Next
$CVX vs the S&P 500 from the trade date. A sale has an edge when the stock lags the market afterwards.
$CVX · 30 days
+1.4%
S&P 500, same days
+5.4% +4.0 pts edge
$CVX · 90 days
+3.7%
S&P 500, same days
+8.7% +5.1 pts edge
$CVX · 180 days
−7.3%
S&P 500, same days
+7.0% +14.3 pts edge
Return
−10%−5%0+5%+10%+15%+20%
The Paper Trail
- $CVX moved +3.7% in the 90 days after the sale, vs +8.7% for the S&P 500 — a 5.1-point edge
- Filed as a spouse's trade
- Trade date
- May 12, 2023
- Disclosed
- Jun 23, 2023 (41 days)
- Shuffle Score
- 28/100
- Filing
- Not linked
Michael McCaul's History in $CVX
| Date | Type | Amount | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| May 12, 2023 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Child |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Child |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Buy | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Child |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Child |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Child |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Child |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | $500,001 - $1,000,000 | Spouse |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Spouse |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Spouse |
Returns use split- and dividend-adjusted closes. Disclosures report ranges, not exact amounts. A well-timed trade is not evidence of wrongdoing. Methodology · Disclaimer