Case file · Aug 27, 2025
Rep. Michael McCaul bought $AMAT
What Happened Next
$AMAT vs the S&P 500 from the trade date. A buy has an edge when the stock beats the market.
$AMAT · 30 days
+24.1%
S&P 500, same days
+2.6% +21.4 pts edge
$AMAT · 90 days
+47.8%
S&P 500, same days
+4.7% +43.1 pts edge
$AMAT · 180 days
+128.0%
S&P 500, same days
+6.1% +121.8 pts edge
Return
0+50%+100%+150%+200%
The Paper Trail
- $AMAT moved +47.8% in the 90 days after the buy, vs +4.7% for the S&P 500 — a 43.1-point edge
- $AMAT is a named recipient of CHIPS Act ($4.0B) source
- Filed as a spouse's trade
- Trade date
- Aug 27, 2025
- Disclosed
- Sep 12, 2025 (16 days)
- Shuffle Score
- 38/100
- Filing
- Not linked
Who Else Traded $AMAT That Week
Other members of Congress with trades in the same stock within 7 days either side
| Politician | Date | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna Dem | Aug 26, 2025 | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 |
Returns use split- and dividend-adjusted closes. Disclosures report ranges, not exact amounts. A well-timed trade is not evidence of wrongdoing. Methodology · Disclaimer